NFL Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Same Game Parlay: Browns prevail at +1300 odds

Week 12 of the NFL campaign features a fascinating matchup between a pair of AFC North stalwarts. 

Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which kick off at 1:00 pm ET on CBS. Also be sure to check out our full Steelers vs Browns predictions.

Browns -1.5 (-110)

Under 33.5 (-110)

Kareem Hunt to score a touchdown (+250)

Parlay odds: +1300

Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as xx. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.

Browns -1.5 (-110)

For weeks on end, we’ve told bettors to wait to fade Pittsburgh. Regardless of how pedestrian their offense looks and the data that supports that claim (26th in points per game, 28th in yards per game), the Steelers keep finding ways to win. Depending on their opponent, it’s often the right idea to wager on Mike Tomlin’s grungy team than it is to bet against them. However, that is not the case with this revenge spot for a surging home team.

Down 31-17 entering the fourth quarter, Cleveland scored 16 unanswered points in the game’s final 14 minutes to earn one of the most entertaining comeback victories of the NFL season. DeShaun Watson played one of his best games as a Brown, showing elite accuracy and arm strength in the most pressing moments. However, we learned this week that Watson is having season-ending surgery on his shoulder, and therefore will not play on Sunday. In steps Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and while he hardly provides the same level of confidence, this is still a Browns team worth backing on Sunday. The Steelers are due to regress, and I think we see that against an elite defense in Cleveland. 

Under 33.5 (-110)

Oddsmakers are naturally anticipating a low-scoring affair between two defensive-minded coaches and teams. Simply put, the Browns are the best defense in the NFL. No team owns more 1st place rankings across all metrics, including opponent yards per Game, 3rd down conversion rate, completion percentage, passing yards per Game, and time of possession. They’re also top 5 in many other categories. And while they do struggle in the red zone, the Steelers hardly get to the red zone in the first place, so I’m not worried in that regard.

The first contest finished with 48 points, and the total was listed at 39.5. Of course, both defenses scored a TD in their Week 2 matchup, or that would have been a 34-point total. In any case, oddsmakers haven’t budged. In the chilly and windy environment of Cleveland Browns Stadium, a venue that’s averaged only 30.2 ppg this season, we’ll ignore the small sample sizes of production from the Cleveland and Pittsburgh offenses. These teams are always predicated by defense, and I’d expect for these two prideful units to provide a ton of resistance.

Kareem Hunt to record a touchdown (+250)

While this game has the lowest total of the entire Sunday slate, getting Hunt at a price of +250 after scoring in 5 straight weeks is just absurd. If Dorian Thompson-Robinson can get the Browns in the red zone at least once on Sunday, Hunt will get the call. It helps that Pittsburgh’s rush defense got crushed this past week as the Steelers were missing their 2 starting inside linebackers. Let’s roll the dice with Hunt.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

S29. The Enigmatic Divide: Exploring Why the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans Don’t Mix. S29

Image
The world’s oceaпs, vast aпd mysterioυs, hold maпy secrets withiп their depths. Amoпg their eпigmatic woпders is the pecυliar pheпomeпoп of the Atlaпtic aпd Pacific Oceaпs steadfastly maiпtaiпiпg their boυпdaries, resistiпg the υrge to iпtermiпgle oп a graпd scale. Iп this article, we delve iпto the captivatiпg reasoпs behiпd the distiпctiveпess of these two mighty bodies of water. Oпe crυcial aspect that keeps the Atlaпtic aпd Pacific Oceaпs apart lies iп the disparity of their water deпsities. Seawater deпsity is iпflυeпced by variables like temperatυre, saliпity, aпd pressυre. The Atlaпtic Oceaп boasts higher saliпity levels, primarily dυe to its sigпificaпt freshwater iпflυx from rivers. Coпversely, the Pacific Oceaп hosts larger areas of lower saliпity waters, coυrtesy of factors like raiпfall aпd meltiпg ice. This divergeпce iп deпsity creates a пatυral barrier, impediпg the seamless mixiпg of the two oceaпs. Oceaп cυrreпts play a pivotal role iп shapiпg t...
Read more

A Mysterious Object 570 billion times brighter than the sun has been found by astronomers

Image
There is a massive ball of hot gas billions of light-years distant that is brighter than hundreds of billions of suns. [ This is an updated version of the previous article. ] It’s difficult to envision anything so bright. So, what exactly is it? Astronomers aren’t sure, but they do have a few theories. They believe it is a magnetar, a kind of supernova that is so strong that it pushes the energy boundaries of physics, or the most powerful supernova ever witnessed as of today. Astronomers are struggling to find a way to characterize this object since it is so bright . “If it’s a magnetar, it’s as if nature took everything we know about magnetars and turned it up to 11,” said Krzysztof Stanek, professor of Astronomy at Ohio State University and the team’s co-principal investigator. The All-Sky Automated Survey of Supernovae (ASAS-SN or “assassin”), a compact network of telescopes meant to locate luminous things in the cosmo...
Read more

Myanmar violence and sea disputes to dominate ASEAN talks joined by US, Russian and Chinese envoys

Myanmar’s prolonged civil strife, tensions in the disputed South China Sea and concern over arms buildups in the region are expected to dominate the agenda when Southeast Asia’s top diplomats gather for talks this week in Indonesia JAKARTA, Indonesia -- Myanmar’s prolonged civil strife, tensions in the disputed South China Sea and concern over arms buildups in the region are expected to dominate the agenda when Southeast Asia’s top diplomats gather for talks this week in Indonesia. Russia's year-old invasion of Ukraine and the U.S.-China rivalry will also be under the spotlight as U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang participate as dialogue partners of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations foreign ministers in the Indonesian capital of Jakarta. North Korea has yet to say whether its foreign minister, Choe Son Hui, will attend the ASEAN Regional Forum, an annual regional security meeting. It's ...
Read more