Stephen Curry Odds & Props - NBA October 27, 2023
By now, it should be obvious that the Golden State Warriors are past their run as an NBA dynasty. But they still have an all-time great on their team in Stephen Curry, who remains one of the best shooters and scorers in the league in his 15th season.
We saw that on Tuesday, when the Warriors took on the Phoenix Suns and former teammate Kevin Durant. Golden State lost by four, and Curry didn’t shoot well, but he still put up a team-high 27 points in the loss.
The Warriors are back in action tonight against the Sacramento Kings, and we’ll have to consider whether Curry can find his shooting form when evaluating the NBA odds tonight.
Given what we’ve seen over his career, our NBA picks are going to bet that he does. Check out our NBA player props covering tonight’s Stephen Curry odds below to see where we’re putting our money.
Also, be sure to check out our Warriors vs. Kings picks for complete Game analysis!
Stephen Curry NBA prop picks
- Over 29.5 pts
- Over 29.5 pts/Over 4.5 3-pointers made/Kings -2.5
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Stephen Curry NBA prop pick
Over 29.5 points (-110)
Steph Curry can’t really complain about his time in Golden State, considering the Warriors have won four titles over the past decade. It’s not as though the team has fallen off a cliff, either, as they’re still expected to easily make the playoffs and are a dark horse contender for another title.
But Curry doesn’t have the depth of help that he once enjoyed. That means there’s more of a burden on the legendary shooter to carry the offensive load on a nightly basis.
That plan didn’t quite work out on Tuesday, when Curry shot just 8-for-20 from the floor, including 4-for-14 from three-point range. Yet despite those relative struggles, Curry still led the Warriors with 27 points. It just wasn’t enough for Golden State to overcome the Suns in a 108-104 loss.
We’re going to see Curry putting up a lot of shots this year alongside Klay Thompson, as the two snipers are going to get the bulk of the offensive usage. Obviously, the Warriors aren’t going to shy away from Curry just because he struggled from deep for one night, especially when the whole team only shot 23.3% from beyond the arc.
Given his volume, Curry can score a lot of points even when shots aren’t falling. But we know that, in the long run, those shots will go down. For those who don’t remember, Curry is a career 42.7% 3-point shooter, and hits 47.5% of his shots in total for his career. He’s also a 91% free throw shooter, which adds to his scoring potential.
Curry faced off against Sacramento four times in the last regular season, and torched the Kings for an average of 33 points per game. Now, a healthier Curry will face the Kings yet again in a game that the Warriors will want to win, coming off the loss in their home opener.
It’s too early in the season for Steve Kerr to worry about load management, especially as the Warriors are still looking for their first win of the year. Golden State will look to Curry to shoot his shots and lead the offense, which means he should hit the Over on his points prop.
Prop: Stephen Curry Over 29.5 points (-110 at DraftKings)
Stephen Curry NBA same-game parlay
Over 29.5 pts
Over 4.5 3-pointers made
Kings -2.5
We can use Curry’s scoring prop as the basis for an interesting same-Game parlay on tonight’s matchup. While I’m big on his performance tonight, I don’t necessarily think that will be enough for the Warriors to get the job done against a strong Kings team on the road.
We all know how Curry destroys opposing defenses from behind the three-point line. That’s why I’m looking at his three-pointers prop in order to start building an SGP.
Curry had one of his more prolific seasons from downtown last year, hitting 4.9 threes per game. That’s a trend that I expect to continue this season, as Golden State relies on him to pace the offense.
While Curry only hit four 3-pointers in the Warriors opener, it wasn’t for lack of trying. Steph threw up 14 shots from beyond the arc, something he did just 16 times last year in 56 games played. It’s way too soon to know if this volume will become typical for Curry this year, but it’s a clear sign that he’s not looking to back away. I’m banking on Curry to hit the Over on his 3-pointers made prop at a total of 4.5.
No matter how much Curry does, however, it’s no guarantee that the Warriors will win. While we all hold Golden State in great esteem, it’s important to remember that they went just 44-38 last year – plenty good to make the playoffs, but not a dominant performance by any stretch.
I bring this up because the Kings were the better regular season team last year, finishing four games ahead. There’s a clear caveat here, in that Golden State won the first-round playoff series between these teams in seven games. But that was a hard-fought battle, and the Warriors reached another gear for the postseason that Sacramento couldn’t quite match in their first playoff series since 2006.
The Kings showed what they’re capable of to start the season, beating the Utah Jazz 130-114 on the road on Wednesday. Harrison Barnes put up 33 points, with Domantas Sabonis adding 22 to lead five players who scored in double figures. This is a balanced, talented team that might just be better than Golden State — and they get to play at home with confidence tonight.
Curry will do all he can to keep the Warriors in this game. But in the end, home-court advantage will show for Sacramento. The Kings are only favored by 2.5 points, so I’m comfortable taking them to cover the spread in order to round out our SGP tonight.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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